Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.004526 0.004770 0.005021 0.005297 0.005595 0.005907 0.006257
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004196 0.004569 0.004970 0.005435 0.005961 0.006539 0.007227
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003877 0.004312 0.004794 0.005370 0.006043 0.006811 0.007761
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003642 0.004119 0.004659 0.005320 0.006116 0.007050 0.008244
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003436 0.003940 0.004521 0.005248 0.006142 0.007220 0.008637
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003342 0.003883 0.004518 0.005328 0.006348 0.007609 0.009316
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003221 0.003784 0.004455 0.005327 0.006447 0.007863 0.009829
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003095 0.003672 0.004369 0.005288 0.006490 0.008039 0.010242
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002956 0.003536 0.004245 0.005192 0.006450 0.008101 0.010498
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002839 0.003421 0.004142 0.005117 0.006431 0.008184 0.010782
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002765 0.003359 0.004103 0.005122 0.006516 0.008409 0.011277
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002621 0.003201 0.003932 0.004944 0.006343 0.008266 0.011222
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002563 0.003155 0.003908 0.004963 0.006444 0.008517 0.011772
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002551 0.003167 0.003961 0.005089 0.006700 0.009002 0.012712
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002470 0.003084 0.003883 0.005029 0.006687 0.009090 0.013036
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002398 0.003012 0.003817 0.004984 0.006691 0.009202 0.013403
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002324 0.002933 0.003739 0.004918 0.006661 0.009258 0.013678
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002303 0.002926 0.003759 0.004991 0.006840 0.009644 0.014527
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002257 0.002885 0.003729 0.004991 0.006906 0.009856 0.015092
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002203 0.002828 0.003677 0.004954 0.006915 0.009975 0.015503
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002134 0.002751 0.003592 0.004867 0.006841 0.009954 0.015659
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002074 0.002684 0.003521 0.004798 0.006793 0.009973 0.015887
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002040 0.002653 0.003499 0.004802 0.006859 0.010184 0.016483